Archive for the ‘The Biz’ Category

Piracy schmiracy, what if it’s radio that kills sales?

Monday, February 28th, 2011

A couple of weeks ago Billboard’s print edition ran a fascinating graph (for some reason it’s not in the online version of the article) charting sales of Cee Lo Green’s “Fuck [Forget] You” against its place on the Mainstream Top 40 radio chart. For the first couple of months radio play and sales ran pretty much in parallel, rising and falling together. But somewhere in its third month of release something strange happened: the song dropped off the airplay chart, and as soon as it did, shot up the digital chart, more than doubling its sales in two weeks. A few weeks later it reappeared on the airplay chart, where it’s been slowly rising ever since. But as airplay has risen, sales have dropped in almost exact inverse proportion to the song’s airplay ranking.

This may be a singular phenomenon (and the jump in sales may have been related to the song’s appearance on Glee), but it would be interesting to track other records and see if the same thing holds. It makes perfect sense, after all, that people would avoid buying a record as long as they can hear it on a regular basis on radio. I was reminded of this yesterday when I was reading Chris Molanphy’s presentation at this year’s EMP conference (I wasn’t able to go this year, but a PDF of Molanphy’s talk can be downloaded here). In it he discusses the way the major labels tried to kill the single in the ’90s by creating radio hits but refusing to release actual singles. Records would remain on the airplay charts for months at a time, quite possibly because it was the only inexpensive way for people to hear music they loved without paying an exorbitant price for it (not that the albums didn’t sell, but you have to wonder how many singles might have been sold if they had ever been released). The same phenomenon still exists, to some degree, on the Adult Contemporary Airplay chart, where records can remain in the top ten for months at a time while barely selling at all.

This has been said many times before, but people are always going to seek out the least expensive option of hearing something as ephemeral as pop music. It’s as if they already know that they’ll get tired of it soon enough, and don’t see the point in making a major investment. Maybe the labels’ problem is that they refuse to recognize the ephemerality of the music they’re making; they think they can sell it forever, even when most of the time they’re lucky to keep people interested for more than two months.

Tchotchkes for everybody!

Thursday, February 24th, 2011

The most hilarious thing about all the reactions to Steve Stoute’s full page ad lambasting the Grammy Awards, is the sense you get that everyone enters the discussion as if there were no other awards for music besides the Grammys. The even gets to the point where Stoute and others suggest founding yet another awards show, on which, presumably, the artists they want to be recognized will be recognized, and even allowed to perform.

My question is, where are they going to fit another award show in the schedule? Between the American Music Awards and the Billboard Music Awards? Maybe between the Academy of Country music Awards and the BET Awards, or even the BET Hip-Hop Awards. Or maybe they could squeeze it in between the Dove Awards and the Teen Choice awards. There might still be room, as well, between the MTV Video Music Awards and the People’s Choice Awards, or between the Country Music Television Awards and the Urban Music Awards. Of course, if they want an international audience, they’ll need to be careful about conflicts with the Brit Awards, or the Mercury Prize, or the Juno Awards, or Billboard and MTV’s various international awards. And let’s not forget the American Idol, X Factor, So You Think You Can Dance, and Eurovision Song Contest finales. It’s a full plate of awards, you see. Let’s make sure everybody gets a commemorative one.

Update: And don’t forget MTV’s OMAs, their new digital music awards show.

Because sound matters

Tuesday, February 22nd, 2011

I’ve always believed that eventually, with the growth of bandwidth, faster computers and internet connections, and the continuing drop in storage prices, high quality music downloads would be available at some point in the future. Now it looks like Apple is planning to do just that. At a premium, of course. But then, iTunes Plus—that is, the switch from 128 kpbs, DRMed files to 256kpbs management free files—was a premium at first; now it’s standard. I may well have to replace my five-year-old iPod in order to play the new files, but that’s something that was due to happen soon, anyway. As for all those teenagers who supposedly prefer tinny sound…well, that’s who cheap speakers and earbuds were made for.

Well, duh

Tuesday, February 15th, 2011

The news that Sony, when and if they get their own streaming music site off the ground and start generating income, may pull out of iTunes, seems like such a no-brainer that it almost serves as a textbook case of how behind the major labels are. They’ve had the ability to stream and sell through their own sites for at least five years, if not more, and they’re only really getting around to doing it now, after a couple of dozen other companies have got the drop on them? The iTunes model is a good one, but it shouldn’t be the only one, and as long as the labels are out there scooping up new artists, with the full knowledge that once those artists are established they’ll probabaly start selling directly to their audiences themselves, it only makes sense for them to put a little more effort into controlling digitial distribution. It’s not as if there haven’t been plenty of examples for them to follow and build on. I have only two questions. First, how long before someone puts together a site that does nothing more than aggregrate the growing number of streams that will be necessary to access new music? Second, is Sony going to put their streaming service on their existing corporate site? I ony ask because every time I go there my browser freezes and I have to restart it.

Who really benefits from American Idol?

Tuesday, February 8th, 2011

Beside the producers and the network, that is. How about the judges?

Them that’s got shall get

Tuesday, February 8th, 2011

Think of it as growing economic inequality, pop music style: in 2010, the top forty of the year continued to far outsell any of the other top 200 tracks, accounting for over 40% of track sales on the list (and nearly 9% of all tracks sold). This is a trend that has continued, with a few minor blips, since the launching of the iTunes store in 2003. It’s been said before, but it’s worth repeating: this is what digital really means, easier access to the music people are already buying. The long tail means nothing, other that when your song turns up in some hip commercial or a movie trailer in a few years, it may still be readily available and you might make a few bucks. In the meantime, get back to pulling espressos and stop whining.

Once uneccessary department department

Thursday, February 3rd, 2011

Old, old news, I know, but it’s still somehow sad that Atlantic Records just named their first-ever head of Black Music. Once upon a time that’s almost all they were; now they need to create a special department just to remind themselves that they have some.

Gleeful publishing

Friday, January 28th, 2011

EOnline presents an estimated breakdown of how much the appearance of a song on Glee can bring in for songwriters and publishers. No mention of money for the cast, though, who last I heard were getting royally screwed. Maybe that’s whose money Ryan Murphy donates to arts education.

The future

Thursday, January 27th, 2011

Since the annual Midem Conference was last week, it’s now time for “Oh my God, what are we going to do next?” week. Mark Mulligan, of Forrester Research, scared everyone at Midem to death by declaring digital a failure. The reaction to his speech was so negative that he put an editorial in Billboard clarifying his position, and stating that digital is only currently a failure, but that things will get better as soon as somebody (anybody?) comes up with a new idea to capitalize on digital distribution. Needless to say, he offers no suggestions himself (to be fair, that’s not his job). Meanwhile, on another panel, BMG Rights CEO Hartwig Masuch declared that A&R was dead, since everybody could feed their music directly to the public without having to go through labels or a publisher. The other panelists vehemently disagreed with him, but then they would. Gatekeepers are more important than ever, they said, apparently failing to recognize that the role of gatekeeper has largely been taken over by the audience’s peers (that is, other members of the audience), who most likely have no real idea what they’re talking about. At the same time, word continues of MySpace’s imminent collapse, which causes Hypebot to chortle in glee. Meanwhile, Billboard, which stays ahead of the music industry by being only slightly behind everyone else, has started an “Uncharted” chart, which tracks the popularity of “undiscovered” bands on, you guessed it, MySpace, along with YouTube, Facebook, Twitter, and other social networking and music sites. On top of all of this, everyone’s still waiting for Apple, Google, Spotify and whoever else feels like it, to open their streaming service in the US (not to mention the upcoming, much needed, Rhapsody redesign). Meanwhile, label execs are playing musical chairs, not just with themselves (UMG Chairman Doug Morris has been invited to take over Sony), but with their companies, as Warner Music investigates the possibility of selling off their publishing division so they can buy EMI.

But with all that, there’s still a future for the music business, as demonstrated by this listing of the top 21 stars under 21.

Oh, dear God, we’re doomed.

How did the Decemberists debut at number one?

Thursday, January 27th, 2011

The old-fashioned way: they promo-ed the thing to death and practically gave it away. Works every time.